Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual≥$1T 100%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
24
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado22/04/26, 03:49 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
SpaceX highest valuation by end of March 2027
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsOpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-12-31.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-12-31 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-3.0pt80.2%
- Yes+3.0pt19.8%
- Volume total
- € 13 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 419,3 mil
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt43%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-3.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-3.0pt31%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,4 mi
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Jan 1, 202792%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 16,5 mil
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt65%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 202750%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 894,3 mil
KALSHIWho will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Paramount+1.0pt77.1%
- None before July 2027+2.0pt20%
- Netflix2.9%
- Volume total
- € 3,7 mi
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Clavicular sentenced to prison?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by which date?
- Ohio State vs Texas
- When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota ≥$1T em 100% em 11 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026 é resolvido?
- SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-12-31.