Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Labour 28%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
19
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+3.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado31/10/24, 14:11 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If Labour wins the 2024 UK general election, what will average GDP/capita (PPP) growth over the next four years be?
Manifold MarketsWho will lead the Conservative Party into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsUK General Election Next after 2024: Which party will win in Middlesbrough and Thornaby East?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PolymarketWhat will be the national vote margin in the 2026 House midterms?
PredictItRegras
Each answer resolves to the share of the national popular vote received by each of the main parties in the next UK General Election following July 2024, with named parties rounded to the nearest full percentage. i.e. if results were the same as 2024 then this would resolve 34% Labour, 24% Conservative, 14% Reform, 12% the named outcome, 7% Green, 3% SNP, 6% other.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 112,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,2 mi
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 184,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 891,3 mil
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Volume total
- € 4,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 505,9 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume total
- € 25,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 384,3 mil
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- € 2,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 358,3 mil
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next UK General Election: how will the national vote be split??
- A Manifold Markets cota Labour em 28% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next UK General Election: how will the national vote be split? é resolvido?
- Next UK General Election: how will the national vote be split? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Next UK General Election: how will the national vote be split? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Each answer resolves to the share of the national popular vote received by each of the main parties in the next UK General Election following July 2024, with named parties rounded to the nearest full percentage. i.e. if results were the same as 2024 then this would resolve 34% Labour, 24% Conservative, 14% Reform, 12% the named outcome, 7% Green, 3% SNP, 6% other.