Large states redistrict before 2026 midterms?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 2026IA5d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualTexas, as well as California or New York 98%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
28
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado4/08/25, 23:44 UTC3/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Only redistricting that take effect before the midterms counts.
- Update 2025-11-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will wait until the midterms (November 2026) to resolve this market, rather than resolving when redistricting events occur earlier.
