Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 90.9%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado26/06/25, 06:15 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
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Following the latest RealLifeLore video:
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fJHkHeHFuhg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lake_Kivu
- As far as I can understand, there can be very small degassing events, so for the resolution of this market I'm choosing a threshold of 100 people dead.
Mercados abertos
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 141,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 129,1 mil
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 72,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 71,8 mil
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 71,6 mil
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 mais resultados
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Lake Kivu erupt before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Lake Kivu erupt before 2030? é resolvido?
- Lake Kivu erupt before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Lake Kivu erupt before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Following the latest RealLifeLore video: