Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 98.3%
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 horas
Desatualizado25/01/26, 19:33 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Kristi Noem be impeached by the house in 2026?
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KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- Impeachment requires a simple majority in the House.
- This market resolves YES if the House of Representatives votes to impeach Kristi Noem by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official House voting records available at Congress.gov.
- Any article of impeachment passing counts, even if a different one fails.
- [image](https://manifold.markets/embed/Jack1/kristi-noem-gone-as-secretary-of-ho)
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
PoliticsKALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+1.0pt46.6%
- D-House, R-Senate35.9%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt15.5%
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KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-1.4pt98%
- Dan McKee+1.3pt2%
- Gregory Stevens-0.1pt0%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva52%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.3pt45.1%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt74%
- New People (NL)+0.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Texas Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Kristi Noem impeached by the house in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Kristi Noem impeached by the house in 2026? é resolvido?
- Kristi Noem impeached by the house in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Kristi Noem impeached by the house in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria
- Onde mais Kristi Noem impeached by the house in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.