Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 56%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado2/03/25, 01:06 UTC1/01/00, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a US spy was working at Deepseek at any point in the period 2025-2035.
- If, by January 1st 2100, there is no evidence for this, then this question resolves as NO.
- If there is weak evidence, but no strong evidence, then this question resolves as N/A. The NO and N/A resolutions cannot occur before January 1st 2100.
Mercados abertos
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- No-0.3pt96%
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- 28°C+9.5pt13.5%
- 29°C+2.3pt3.1%
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- No-0.5pt72.3%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Is there an American spy working at Deepseek??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 56% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Is there an American spy working at Deepseek? é resolvido?
- Is there an American spy working at Deepseek? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2100.
- Como Is there an American spy working at Deepseek? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a US spy was working at Deepseek at any point in the period 2025-2035.