Is it extremely likely Democrats will win the house in 2026 midterm elections?
39.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20261m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualYes, Democrats will win a clear majority 89%+39.0ptLíder entre 3 opções
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+39.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado3/11/26, 06:46 UTC31/12/26, 11:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option will resolve YES or NO independently based on official certification and election returns from the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections (concluding with the seating of the 120th Congress in January 2027).
- The official seat count will be verified via the Clerk of the United States House of Representatives or major election reporting consensus (e.g., Associated Press, Decision Desk HQ).
- The total voting membership of the U.S. House of Representatives is 435 seats (218 required for an outright majority).
- Options resolve as follows:
