Should I expect Democrats to win back the house in 2026 midterm election?
42.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 202628d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualYes, Democrats will win back the House 92%+42.0pt
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+42.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado31/10/26, 18:06 UTC30/11/26, 11:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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PredictItRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official outcome of the 2026 United States House of Representatives elections.
- Each answer option will resolve independently as follows:
- "the named outcome": Resolves YES if the Democratic Party wins at least 218 seats (or a majority of the seats contested) in the 2026 U.S. House elections, thereby taking majority control of the chamber for the 120th Congress.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- "the named outcome": Resolves YES if the Republican Party retains at least 218 seats (or a working majority) following the 2026 midterm elections.
