Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 92.7%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 minutos
1/08/23, 08:42 UTC31/12/43, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
I've occasionally seen some nazi-adjacent people express concerns about the racial situation in South Africa.
- This includes sharing a documentary where some white farmers were being attacked, and more recently, sharing a video of the third-largest South African political party singing that people should kill the whites.
- However, I know nothing about South African politics and very little about South African history, so for all I know, this might be taken out of context.
- This is what the mainstream media claims, with the white farmers getting attacked apparently employing black people who also get attacked, and the song about killing white people being some traditional song that came up in the context of apartheid.
- Resolution criteria
- If by the end of 2043, an unambiguous sign of serious attempted white genocide is observed, this market resolves YES.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Is a potential white genocide brewing in South Africa??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 93% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Is a potential white genocide brewing in South Africa? é resolvido?
- Is a potential white genocide brewing in South Africa? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2043.
- Como Is a potential white genocide brewing in South Africa? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I've occasionally seen some nazi-adjacent people express concerns about the racial situation in South Africa.