In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?
Saúde e medicinaIAOne-Off4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual2027 51.2%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+9.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado1/06/26, 16:44 UTC1/02/31, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiMeasles cases in U.S. by October 31?
PolymarketWhat will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- Each option (2027, 2028, 2029, 2030) in this market is independent and will resolve based on whether the final reported number of confirmed measles cases in the United States for that year exceeds the final reported count for the year 2026.
- YES: If the CDC’s finalized (or consolidated provisional) annual count of confirmed measles cases in the United States for the respective year is strictly greater than the final count for 2026.
- NO: If the count is equal to or less than the final count for 2026.
- Source of Truth: The primary source of truth is the CDC's official Measles Cases and Outbreaks page.
- If the data is archived or the page structure changes, final annual tables from the CDC's National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) or the Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) will be used.