In the first Russian Duma election where United Russia does not win a plurality of seats, which party will?
PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoRússia / Ucrânia27d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Communist Party (CPRF) 28.6%Líder entre 9 opções
Communist Party (CPRF) 28.6%Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado23/07/24, 13:00 UTC30/11/26, 20:59 UTC
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This question will resolve to the party that gains the plurality of the seat in the Russian State Duma the first time it is neither the United Russia (UR) party nor its direct successor. [Note: closing time may be extended]
- In the case two parties gain the same number of seats:
- If none of them are UR: resolves based on the number of votes
- If one of them is UR: resolves to the second party
