If this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição5aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualMarco Rubio 17.1%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado26/06/26, 21:41 UTC20/01/32, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves YES if this person became president of the United States after the 2028 US election, and the insurrection act is invoked by January 21st 2032 (the point at which their term would expire per the Constitution).
- Resolves NO if they were elected president and it isn't invoked.
- Resolves N/A if they weren't president at any time (winning the election but not being inaugurated also resolves N/A for that person, and YES/NO for whoever actually becomes president).
- If they resign and the Insurrection Act is invoked in this interval, still resolves YES (e.g. if they resign, their VP becomes president, and their VP invokes it).
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032??
- A Manifold Markets cota Marco Rubio em 17% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032? é resolvido?
- If this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2032.
- Como If this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if this person became president of the United States after the 2028 US election, and the insurrection act is invoked by January 21st 2032 (the point at which their term would expire per the Constitution).