If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition]
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleiçãoGeopolítica2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 56%
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46
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado31/12/24, 13:07 UTC21/01/29, 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
High-ranking Republicans with plausible knowledge by the candidate
- Militias like the Proud Boys count
- MAGA-aligned independent would count
- Needs to have had a significant (>=10%) chance of success, according to traders' opinions
- Aborted plan or random document doesn't count
- Plan needs to be executed, or disrupted by law enforcement
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition]?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 56% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition] é resolvido?
- If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition] deverá ser resolvido em 21 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition] é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: High-ranking Republicans with plausible knowledge by the candidate