If Javier Milei is reelected, will a republican candidate win the 2028 US presidental election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoAmérica Latina2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 55.3%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado3/10/25, 02:41 UTC5/11/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolution criteria
- Precondition: Javier Milei must be officially reelected President of Argentina for the 2027–2031 term.
- Confirmation will rely on Argentina’s official election authorities (Cámara Nacional Electoral and/or the DINE results portal).
- If Milei is not reelected (including after any runoff), this market resolves N/A. (electoral.gob.ar)
- If the precondition is met: Resolve YES if the Republican Party’s presidential nominee wins the 2028 U.S. presidential election as determined by the official Electoral College count certified by Congress (the National Archives posts the certified results after the joint session).
- Resolve NO otherwise.
