If Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach Donald Trump before January 3, 2029?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUA2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 61.5%
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2
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado7/10/26, 02:05 UTC3/01/29, 17:00 UTC
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If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the House impeach Donald Trump before January 3, 2029?
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Condition: Democrats win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Democratic Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Republicans or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if the U.S. House adopts at least one article of impeachment against Donald Trump between January 3, 2027 and January 3, 2029 (inclusive).
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Republicans keep the House.
- Comparing the two shows what the market thinks control of the House changes.
