Previsão da comunidade atual
Completely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information) 42.9%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
30
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado24/02/26, 19:02 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegras
Resolves to an option IF EITHER the Kalshi or Polymarket question on U.S. confirmation of aliens resolves YES in 2026.
- https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaliens/aliens/kxaliens-27
- https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
- NOTE: neither of these markets requires aliens to actually exist.
- They just require a cabinet member or federal agency to definitively state that aliens exist.
- If both resolve NO, then this resolves to N/A.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be??
- A Manifold Markets cota Completely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information) em 43% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? é resolvido?
- If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves to an option IF EITHER the Kalshi or Polymarket question on U.S. confirmation of aliens resolves YES in 2026.