Previsão da comunidade atual
He declines to run a third time and steps down 77%Líder entre 13 opções
Previsores
104
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado19/04/25, 15:44 UTC26/01/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Trump do during his second term (2025–2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsHow many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
KalshiHow many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?
KalshiRegras
This question is intended to be comprehensive for all possible ways trump’s second term could end.
- Update 2025-04-28 (PST): - If Trump is impeached and then resigns before or during the Senate trial, the market will be resolved as resigns.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
- Update 2026-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Trump tries to run for a third term and fails (e.g. is prevented from being placed on the ballot by a court decision), the market will resolve as "runs and loses".
