Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualGrok 4.6 is released by August 31, 2026 81.5%+31.5ptLíder entre 14 opções
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37
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 35 minutos
7/03/26, 12:237/03/27, 12:23
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Neuralink implants surpass 1,000 humans by December 31, 20265%
Tendência de volume
$11328 de jul.2d de dados29 de jul.
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Tracks Elon Musk's progress toward AGI via xAI/Grok, Optimus robots, Neuralink, and supporting tech like advanced batteries.
- Starship V3 flight imminent in 4 weeks; Grok Imagine tops video AI leaderboards; Tesla cracks dry electrode manufacturing.
- AI-managed market.
- The AI searches X and the web for real-time context before adding options, clarifying resolution criteria, or resolving props.
- /add-option — suggest a new prop.
- AI researches it, then adds if unique and interesting.