SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
0.2% (24h)ExchangeOne-OffIASpaceCorporate ActionsEquitiesTecnologiaBusiness & Corporate1a
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualSpaceX 97%
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
948,5 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
96.0% / 97.8%
Spread
1.9%
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
-1.1%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 29 minutos
30/01/26, 23:1931/12/27, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
SpaceX97%
Tendência de volume
$112 de jul.16d de dados20 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4,1 mil €SpaceX: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
0 €Below 0.5T: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of July
17,6 €$1.0T-$1.5T: 64%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
2,7 mil €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
244,9 €No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 31.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSCombined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX
44,4 €Under $3T: 1.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAtivos nestes tópicos
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This market will resolve to “SpaceX” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
- This market will resolve to “OpenAI” if the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
- This market will resolve to the company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, if the other company does not complete an IPO within the market timeframe.
- This market will resolve to the IPOed company as soon as it becomes impossible for the other company to complete an IPO within the market timeframe, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO within this market's timeframe, and their IPO closing market capitalizations are exactly equal. - Both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.