SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
2.3 pts (24h)ExchangeOne-OffIASpaceCorporate ActionsEquitiesTecnologiaBusiness & Corporate1a
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
SpaceX 55%+2.3pt
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
52,4 €
Liquidez
180,8 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
25.7% / 84.9%
Spread
59.2 pt
Spread amploComentários
5
Variação 7d
-4.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
30/01/26, 23:19 UTC31/12/27, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to “SpaceX” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
- This market will resolve to “OpenAI” if the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
- This market will resolve to the company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, if the other company does not complete an IPO within the market timeframe.
- This market will resolve to the IPOed company as soon as it becomes impossible for the other company to complete an IPO within the market timeframe, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO within this market's timeframe, and their IPO closing market capitalizations are exactly equal. - Both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
