Did the Russians intend to destroy the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if they intended a significantly lesser sabotage)
One-OffRússia / UcrâniaGeopolítica1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 56.2%
Previsores
40
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado9/06/23, 16:17 UTC2/01/28, 04:59 UTC
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Regras
This market is specifically asking whether the Russians deliberately blew up the dam completely vs whether they intended a lesser sabotage.
- An allegedly intercepted phone call released by Ukraine suggested that the Russians intended to sabotage the dam but not to completely destroy it.
- That is what I am trying to get at with this new market.
- Note that this market resolves NO in any of the following scenarios:
- If anybody else other than the Russians blew it up
- If it was mismanagement rather than intentional sabotage
