Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 79.3%
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado14/04/26, 18:13 UTC14/04/00, 18:08 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
In my LessWrong essay "Nectome: All That I Know", I make the claim: "Most cryonics clients wait over a day between legal death and being cryopreserved." This is hard to check, but might be possible to verify at some point in the future.
- This market will resolve YES if there is strong evidence that a majority of people who were cryopreserved before 2026 spent at least 24 hours after legal death but before having their remains vitrified at cryogenic temperatures.
- It will resolve NO if there is strong evidence that a majority were cryopreserved with less than a day's wait time.
- I won't resolve until there is clear, unambiguous evidence about how it should resolve.
- I also won't bet.
Mercados abertos
Health & Medicine
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KALSHIWill 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
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- Volume 24h
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Did most cryopreserved humans go 24 hours before cryopreservation??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 79% em 15 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Did most cryopreserved humans go 24 hours before cryopreservation? é resolvido?
- Did most cryopreserved humans go 24 hours before cryopreservation? deverá ser resolvido em 14 de abril de 3000.
- Como Did most cryopreserved humans go 24 hours before cryopreservation? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: In my LessWrong essay "Nectome: All That I Know", I make the claim: "Most cryonics clients wait over a day between legal death and being cryopreserved." This is hard to check, but might be possible to verify at some point in the future.