Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 54%
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 41 minutos
8/08/26, 13:48 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Demis Hassabis also win a Nobel Prize in Medicine?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 26 - October 28, 2026?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES if until Dec 31, 2027, Hassabis continuously spends the majority of his working time in roles at Alphabet or its subsidiaries (incl.
- Google DeepMind, Isomorphic Labs).
- Job titles don’t matter.
- Part-time advisory alongside outside ventures counts as NO.
- Resolves NO immediately if he leaves before then.
