Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026?
RegulamentaçãoOne-OffTecnologiaIABusiness & Corporate3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 95.5%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado1/09/26, 15:02 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Sir Demis Hassabis remains officially employed by or holds an active formal role (such as Chairman, Chief Scientist, CEO, Board Member, or Senior Advisor) at Alphabet Inc., Google, Google DeepMind, Isomorphic Labs, or any other Alphabet subsidiary as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
- Otherwise, if his formal employment or official affiliation has ended or his departure has taken effect on or before this date, the market will resolve to NO.
- Key details and edge cases:
- An announcement of an impending departure where his final day is scheduled to take place after December 31, 2026, will resolve to YES.
- If his departure has been officially announced and takes effect on or before December 31, 2026, the market resolves to NO.
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- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
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- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
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- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria