Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 86.8%
Previsores
26
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado25/05/26, 06:15 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one laboratory-confirmed case of Ebola virus disease (EVD) is reported in North America (defined as the United States, Canada, Mexico, Central America, or the Antilles) by a national public health authority (e.g., the CDC in the United States, the Public Health Agency of Canada, the Secretariat of Health in Mexico, etc.) before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- If no such case is confirmed by the specified deadline, the market will resolve to "No." Cases that are suspected but not confirmed by official government health agencies do not count as a resolution for "Yes."
- Update 2026-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Evacuees brought to North America for quarantine/treatment count toward resolution, provided they are laboratory-confirmed cases reported by a national public health authority.