Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSevere deflation: CPI falls by more than 10%/year 23.5%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado27/06/26, 02:51 UTC27/06/31, 02:46 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
Assume that by Dec. 31, 2035, an AI system exists that is generally considered superintelligent relative to humans across economically relevant cognitive tasks, and assume human civilization and US government statistics still exist.
- This market resolves based on the annualized change in US CPI-U All Items over the five calendar years after the first year in which ASI exists.
- For example, if ASI first exists in 2031, resolve using CPI from Jan. 2032 to Jan. 2037.
- Use BLS CPI-U All Items, or the closest successor series if CPI-U is discontinued.
