California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?
TecnologiaOne-OffEspaçoCiência
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 55.7%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado18/06/25, 18:19 UTC31/12/99, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the California High-Speed Rail (HSR) system becomes operational between San Francisco and Los Angeles before a human lands alive on Mars. "Operational" is defined as the commencement of regular passenger service along the full route connecting San Francisco and Los Angeles.
- A "human landing on Mars" is defined as a human arriving on the Martian surface alive.
- The resolution will be based on official announcements from the California High-Speed Rail Authority and credible space agencies or organizations involved in Mars missions.
- The California High-Speed Rail project aims to connect San Francisco and Los Angeles via a 494-mile route.
- As of March 2024, the project has faced significant delays and cost overruns, with no set timeline for the full route's completion.