By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?
IAOne-Off3m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 80.3%
Previsores
86
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado19/12/22, 20:32 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This market seeks to predict the ability to use AI to generate meaningful parts of an impressive game.
- We are not concerned with precision down to the level of generating a good Settings menu, but trying to take a qualitative look at how relevant overall the AI is.
- Individual examples that would cause this market to resolve YES: - All (or the overwhelming majority) of assets are AI generated -> YES - All game mechanics are AI generated -> YES - All the story / dialogue elements are AI generated in a visual novel -> YES
- At the end of 2026 if this market closes and no game has met the critera, this market will resolve NO.
- What counts as a game?
- I am fleshing out two main requirements: 1.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue? é resolvido?
- By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market seeks to predict the ability to use AI to generate meaningful parts of an impressive game.