By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050?

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 81% em 27 de outubro de 2026.

Quando By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050? é resolvido?

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2051.

Como By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the following metaculus market resolves positively before the end of 2050: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/

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POLYMARKET

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

• 20 to 34-10.2pt83.8%
• 35 to 49+11.4pt15.2%
• 50 or more-1.3pt1%

+1 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 73,2 mil

Volume 24h

€ 9,9 mil

KALSHI

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

• No85.5%
• Yes-3.0pt14.5%

Volume total

€ 379 mil

POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.1pt98%
• Yes-0.1pt2%

Volume total

€ 16,8 mi

Volume 24h

€ 3,7 mil

KALSHI

Measles cases in 2026?

• Above 500098.5%
• Above 6000-3.0pt76.5%
• Above 7000-8.0pt37.5%

POLYMARKET

Screwworm National Emergency declared by which date?

• December 3114%
• October 31-3.6pt1%

+2 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 12,5 mil

Volume 24h

€ 1,5 mil

POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No-0.1pt96%
• Yes+0.1pt4%

Volume total

€ 1,1 mi

Volume 24h

€ 1,5 mil

• Ebola pandemic in 2026?
• Pandemic in 2026?
• Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
• Anthropic lab leak by which date?
• Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
• How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
• Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
• Next pandemic
• Plague case in US by December 31?
• How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
• New pandemic before 2028?