Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual≥$1.25T 79.1%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado21/05/26, 19:10 UTC1/04/27, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
OpenAI highest valuation by end of March 2027
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Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Perplexity's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-03-31.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2027-03-31 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-3.0pt80.2%
- Yes+3.0pt19.8%
- Volume total
- € 13 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 419,3 mil
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt43%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-3.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-3.0pt31%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,4 mi
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Jan 1, 202792%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 16,5 mil
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt65%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 202750%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 894,3 mil
KALSHIWho will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Paramount+1.0pt77.1%
- None before July 2027+2.0pt20%
- Netflix2.9%
- Volume total
- € 3,7 mi
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
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- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by which date?
- Ohio State vs Texas
- When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Anthropic highest valuation by end of March 2027?
- A Manifold Markets cota ≥$1.25T em 79% em 11 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Anthropic highest valuation by end of March 2027 é resolvido?
- Anthropic highest valuation by end of March 2027 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de abril de 2027.
- Como Anthropic highest valuation by end of March 2027 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-03-31.