Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 24 de jul. de 2026, 19:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Previsão da comunidade atual90-100% 42%+1.8ptLíder entre 12 opções
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 dias
Desatualizado6/01/26, 23:1031/12/26, 23:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
<20%1%
Comparar plataformas· 90-100%
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FutuurMelhor no geral93% de correspondência · auto | Baixa | 50% | — | 0 € | 5,2 mil € | há 12 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 42% | — | — | — | há 3 dias |
Também disponível em Futuur
What percent of the top 5 human average score will the best bot score in ACX 2026?
5m
52.6%
31.6%
10.5%
+1 mais resultados
36 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoLiquidez médiaAlta ambiguidade
Volume total39,6 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURRegras
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/40964)
- Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description:
- This question will resolve as the ratio of the peer score of the highest performing bot relative to the average (mean) of the top 5 human participants in the ACX 2026 Tournament.
- The results will be expressed as a percentage.
- If the highest performing bot has a negative peer score, this question will resolve as <20.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$5023 de jul.2d de dados24 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
Top AI model in July?
143 mil €claude-opus-4-6-thinking: 2%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?
67,6 mil €1500+: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
59,7 mil €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best AI at the end of 2026?
46,4 mil €Muse Spark: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Best AI model on August 1?
38,9 mil €Other: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBest AI this week
19,4 mil €Qwen: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News
DeepMind CEO Says AGI Will Be Bigger Than Electricity or FireDecryptRegras
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/40964)
- Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description:
- This question will resolve as the ratio of the peer score of the highest performing bot relative to the average (mean) of the top 5 human participants in the ACX 2026 Tournament.
- The results will be expressed as a percentage.
- If the highest performing bot has a negative peer score, this question will resolve as <20.