Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualKamala Harris 74.3%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado20/12/25, 15:36 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
This market will resolve YES to the candidate leading on December 31st, 2026 in Race To The WH's average of reputable national polls for the 2028 Democratic presidential primary.
- If this source is no longer maintained, I will fall back to Silver Bulletin (if available yet) or RealClearPolitics, in that order of preference.
- Feel free to add additional answers if you disagree with the default four options presented!