KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
At least 32% 17%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
11,6 mil €
Liquidez
10,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
11/09/26, 14:00 UTC3/11/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
CO-04 House election: Tim Veldhuizen vote percent
KalshiCO-04 House election: Wayne Thornton vote percent
KalshiLA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiCO-07 House election: Joe Krzeckowski vote percent
KalshiMD-05 House election: Brian Jordan vote percent
KalshiUT-04 House election: Jacob Gottfredson vote percent
KalshiRegras
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Matt Gromlich in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Matt Gromlich ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- The percentage is based on the first round of voting.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 114,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,4 mi
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 185,9 mi
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 mais resultados
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)?
- A Kalshi cota At least 32% em 17% em 12 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round) é resolvido?
- LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round) deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round) é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Matt Gromlich in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.