KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
4.59% or above 99%Líder entre 15 opções
Qualidade do mercado
45 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
86,5 €
Liquidez
777,9 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
4/09/26, 19:30 UTC11/09/26, 19:30 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
LimitlessWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTechnical default on US Treasury debt by 1/20/2029
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.50% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 11, 2026, or one week following Sep 11, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.52% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.56% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.58% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 277,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 10,9 mil
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%-21.5pt55%
- 4.85%-25.0pt42%
- 4.88%-26.0pt31%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%+2.5pt77%
- Below 4.73%+7.0pt68%
- Below 4.70%-3.0pt51%
+6 mais resultados
KALSHISOFR for September 8, 2026
- 3.66% or Above34.3%
- Exactly 3.64%25.3%
- Exactly 3.65%24.2%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,7 mil
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.4pt8%
- 3.5%-2.3pt5%
+6 mais resultados
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.21% or above99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 2,6 mil
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- US defaults on debt by 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026??
- A Kalshi cota 4.59% or above em 99% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026? é resolvido?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 11 de setembro de 2026.
- Como 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.50% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.