KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Before Oct 1, 2026 (81%)
Resolvido: 30 de set. de 2026, 17:40
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
Before Oct 1, 2026
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
28%
SurpresaAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 30 de set. de 2026, 17:35 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Before Nov 1, 202667%
Before Oct 1, 202681%
Before Jan 1, 2027Perdeu
Before Nov 1, 2026Perdeu
Before Oct 1, 2026Ganhou
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PolymarketRegras
Regras arquivadas no nível do evento. Os termos exatos de cada resultado não estão mais disponíveis.
If the governments of the United States and China have formally announced an agreement to establish, or have implemented, a bilateral notification mechanism for AI incidents that could affect national security after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- A qualifying mechanism must be a government-to-government arrangement for notifying the other government about relevant AI incidents; general AI dialogue, shared principles, safety cooperation, or a general hotline without the incident-notification function does not satisfy this topic.
- The mechanism must be expressly described in an official government announcement, agreement text, or qualifying Source Agency report as covering AI incidents with national-security implications.