KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Above 39.9% (99%)
Evidência de resolução limitada
A CoinRithm pode mostrar o resultado registrado, mas nem todos os campos de liquidação são verificados pelo provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Above 39.9% 90.8%+96.0ptLíder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
44 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
222,3 mil €
Liquidez
116,2 mil €
Alta liquidezDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado19/09/26, 14:01 UTC20/09/26, 16:59 UTC
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Below 39.3%1%
39.9%2%
Above 39.9%99%
39.4%0%
39.5%6%
39.8%0%
39.3%0%
39.6%62%
39.7%0%
90.8%
1.8%
1.8%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 39.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.