KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Thom Tillis 77%Líder entre 14 opções
Qualidade do mercado
55 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
7,1 mil €
Liquidez
8 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
15/09/26, 02:00 UTC1/10/26, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiWill the Senate invoke cloture on the Clarity Act this week?
PredictItWhen will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
KalshiWhen will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
LimitlessWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketRegras
If the named outcome votes for the motion to invoke cloture on the motion to proceed to H.R. 3633, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act in the Senate before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:U.S. Congress
- The qualifying vote is the first Senate vote to invoke cloture on the specified motion.
- This must be a vote in the relevant full chamber, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote.
- Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by the member to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other Congressional source.
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+9.0pt80.2%
- Yes-9.0pt19.8%
- Volume total
- € 15,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,1 mi
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt53%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-11.0pt53%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+15.0pt39%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-6.0pt81%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- December 31,-3.0pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Jacky Rosen+0.5pt38%
- Kirsten Gillibrand+9.0pt37%
- Ruben Gallego-14.5pt35%
+12 mais resultados
KALSHIHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Above 50-7.0pt54%
- Above 55-22.0pt42%
- Above 58-8.0pt38%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture??
- A Kalshi cota Thom Tillis em 77% em 15 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture? é resolvido?
- Which Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Which Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome votes for the motion to invoke cloture on the motion to proceed to H.R. 3633, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act in the Senate before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.