KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualBefore Jan 20, 2029 50%-9.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
51 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
332,8 €
Liquidez
6,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
46.0% / 51.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 21 minutos
18/12/24, 15:0020/01/29, 15:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Before Jan 20, 202950%
Tendência de volume
$3793 de jul.22d de dados29 de jul.
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If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
- This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S.
- Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.
- Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
- Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify.
- Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient.