KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 22 de set. de 2026, 02:35 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 20, 2029 45%
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
7,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
8.0% / 12.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
14/01/26, 22:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
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PolymarketRegras
If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:White House
- This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.
- Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
- Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify.
- Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient.
- Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump recognize Somaliland??
- A Kalshi cota Before Jan 20, 2029 em 45% em 22 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump recognize Somaliland? é resolvido?
- Will Trump recognize Somaliland? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Trump recognize Somaliland? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.