KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
27 or more 88%Líder entre 11 opções
Qualidade do mercado
38 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
6,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
1/09/26, 02:00 UTC5/10/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the Parti Québécois has won at least 27 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Elections Quebec
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either (a) the time for filing legal challenges has expired without challenge, (b) any legal challenges have been finally resolved, or (c) the elected member has taken their seat in the parliament/legislature.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of any subsequent changes in affiliation.
- The count will be determined when the new legislature takes their seat, even if vacant seats remain or some results are continuing to be challenged.
- If the election is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the rescheduled election, unless the postponement extends beyond one year from the originally scheduled date, in which case the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
- If the election is cancelled entirely (that is, it is not Fully Conducted as defined in the Contract), the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 606,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 721 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 411,2 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Quebec general election: PQ number of seats??
- A Kalshi cota 27 or more em 88% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Quebec general election: PQ number of seats? é resolvido?
- Quebec general election: PQ number of seats? deverá ser resolvido em 5 de outubro de 2027.
- Como Quebec general election: PQ number of seats? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Parti Québécois has won at least 27 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Quebec general election: PQ number of seats? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.