KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
12 or more 96%Líder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado
44 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
4,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
1/09/26, 02:00 UTC5/10/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If Coalition avenir Québec has won at least 12 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Elections Quebec
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either (a) the time for filing legal challenges has expired without challenge, (b) any legal challenges have been finally resolved, or (c) the elected member has taken their seat in the parliament/legislature.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of any subsequent changes in affiliation.
- The count will be determined when the new legislature takes their seat, even if vacant seats remain or some results are continuing to be challenged.
- If the election is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the rescheduled election, unless the postponement extends beyond one year from the originally scheduled date, in which case the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
- If the election is cancelled entirely (that is, it is not Fully Conducted as defined in the Contract), the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats??
- A Kalshi cota 12 or more em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? é resolvido?
- Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? deverá ser resolvido em 5 de outubro de 2027.
- Como Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Coalition avenir Québec has won at least 12 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.