Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição11m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Ed Markey, ≥5% 99%Líder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
33,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
31/08/26, 17:03 UTC1/09/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiWill Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic primary election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExNew Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory
PolymarketWill Ed Markey win the Massachusetts general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRegras
If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ed Markey minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.
- If Ed Markey wins, the margin will be positive; if Ed Markey loses, the margin will be negative; if Ed Markey ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Ed Markey runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)?
- A Kalshi cota Ed Markey, ≥5% em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey) é resolvido?
- Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey) deverá ser resolvido em 1 de setembro de 2027.
- Como Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey) é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.