KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Maura Sullivan, ≥6% 58.8%Líder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
57 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
6 mil €
Liquidez
4,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
7/09/26, 17:53 UTC8/09/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas)
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KalshiWill Maura Sullivan win the New Hampshire 1st District Democratic primary election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExNH-02 Democratic Primary Winner
PolymarketNew Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory
PolymarketRegras
If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Maura Sullivan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Maura Sullivan if Maura Sullivan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Maura Sullivan loses.
- If Maura Sullivan wins, the margin will be positive; if Maura Sullivan loses, the margin will be negative; if Maura Sullivan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Maura Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)?
- A Kalshi cota Maura Sullivan, ≥6% em 59% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) é resolvido?
- NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) deverá ser resolvido em 8 de setembro de 2027.
- Como NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.