KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Stephen Lynch, ≥2% 99%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
12,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
27/08/26, 19:24 UTC1/09/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
If the margin of victory for Stephen Lynch in the 2026 MA-08 Democratic primary is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Stephen Lynch minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Stephen Lynch if Stephen Lynch wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Stephen Lynch loses.
- If Stephen Lynch wins, the margin will be positive; if Stephen Lynch loses, the margin will be negative; if Stephen Lynch ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Stephen Lynch runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)?
- A Kalshi cota Stephen Lynch, ≥2% em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch) é resolvido?
- MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch) deverá ser resolvido em 1 de setembro de 2027.
- Como MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch) é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the margin of victory for Stephen Lynch in the 2026 MA-08 Democratic primary is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.