KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Ed Markey, ≥20% 86.8%Líder entre 12 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
60 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
22,3 €
Liquidez
45,2 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
17/06/26, 15:01 UTC1/09/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
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ForecastExRegras
If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Markey minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Markey minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Markey wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Markey does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory??
- A Kalshi cota Ed Markey, ≥20% em 87% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? é resolvido?
- Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de setembro de 2027.
- Como Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.