KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Luke Bronin, 20-25% 92.4%Líder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
38 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
12,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
10/08/26, 19:32 UTC11/08/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
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If the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Connecticut Secretary of State
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Luke Bronin minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Luke Bronin if Luke Bronin wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Luke Bronin loses.
- If Luke Bronin wins, the margin will be positive; if Luke Bronin loses, the margin will be negative; if Luke Bronin ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Luke Bronin runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory??
- A Kalshi cota Luke Bronin, 20-25% em 92% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? é resolvido?
- CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? deverá ser resolvido em 11 de agosto de 2027.
- Como CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.