KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before 2027 12%-5.0ptLíder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
51 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
8,6 €
Liquidez
53,9 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
11/06/26, 00:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
Manifold MarketsRegras
If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes93.1%
- No6.9%
- Volume total
- € 190 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 190 mil
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-2.0pt88%
- OpenAI+0.5pt9%
- Google+0.8pt3%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 114,5 mil
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+23.5pt89%
- 2026+37.0pt62%
- September 30, 2026+29.0pt36%
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture39.6%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer28.3%
- No solution by Dec 31, 202717%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 27,7 mil
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best Image Edit AI end of September?
- OpenAI85.7%
- Google7.6%
- Reve0.9%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 14,8 mil
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 2027+0.5pt54%
- June 30, 202742.7%
- 2026-1.4pt3.2%
- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch??
- A Kalshi cota Before 2027 em 12% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch? é resolvido?
- When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.