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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Regulamentação
  3. Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?
Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?

Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?

RegulamentaçãoOne-OffUS PoliticsTrade PolicyPolíticaEleição19d
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 20%
Qualidade do mercado

24 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

0,7 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

18.0% / 27.0%

Spread

50.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 9 minutos

1/06/26, 14:001/07/26, 3:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes20%

Regras

If the President announces a new trade deal before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
  • Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
  • New arrangements include, but are not limited to:

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Regras

If the President announces a new trade deal before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
  • Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
  • New arrangements include, but are not limited to: