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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Which tariffs will the House vote to eliminate before July?
Which tariffs will the House vote to eliminate before July?

Which tariffs will the House vote to eliminate before July?

One-OffTrade PolicyPolíticaEleição19d
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Global
Global 2%
Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado

24 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

151,8 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

1.1% / 2.5%

Spread

127.3%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

12/02/26, 15:001/07/26, 4:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Global2%

Regras

If legislation that terminates or otherwise limits global tariffs imposed by the President of the United States has passed the House after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

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Regras

If legislation that terminates or otherwise limits global tariffs imposed by the President of the United States has passed the House after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.