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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump lower beef tariffs?
Will Trump lower beef tariffs?

Will Trump lower beef tariffs?

5.0% (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyUS PoliticsPolíticaEleição19d
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026 9%-5.0%
Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0,2 €

Liquidez

24,5 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

5.0% / 9.0%

Spread

80.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

16/05/26, 21:001/07/26, 3:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Before Jul 1, 20269%

Regras

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action lowering tariffs on beef imports (incl. suspension of tariff-rate quotas) before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
  • Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
  • Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
  • The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
  • If Donald Trump has taken any executive action lowering tariffs on beef imports (incl. suspension of tariff-rate quotas) before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Regras

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action lowering tariffs on beef imports (incl. suspension of tariff-rate quotas) before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
  • Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
  • Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
  • The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
  • If Donald Trump has taken any executive action lowering tariffs on beef imports (incl. suspension of tariff-rate quotas) before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.