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  3. How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Health & MedicineCiênciaYearly6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Above 10
Above 10 62%
Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado

24 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

1,6 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

63.0% / 69.0%

Spread

9.5%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

14/05/26, 14:001/01/27, 14:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Above 1062%

Regras

If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 10, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8).
  • Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026.
  • See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized.
  • If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 15, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 20, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Regras

If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 10, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8).
  • Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026.
  • See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized.
  • If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 15, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 20, then the market resolves to Yes.