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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. New Mexico Governor margin of victory
New Mexico Governor margin of victory

New Mexico Governor margin of victory

6.0% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleiçãoLatin America1a
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Democrats, 10+ pts
Democrats, 10+ pts 61%+6.0%
Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0,1 €

Liquidez

2 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

54.0% / 61.0%

Spread

13.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

29/04/26, 14:003/11/27, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Democrats, 10+ pts61%

Regras

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New Mexico by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.

Mercados Relacionados

Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

34,2 €
Democrats, 3+ pts: 82%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

6,9 €
James Talarico, 3+ pts: 20%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

5,9 €
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 50%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Senate margin of victory

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

5,7 €
Republicans, 9+ pts: 45%KalshiKALSHI
Florida Senate margin of victory

Florida Senate margin of victory

3,2 €
Republicans, 8+ pts: 97%KalshiKALSHI
North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

3 €
Republicans, 1+ pts: 15%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New Mexico by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.